Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.267330 3.772638 4.327812 4.982719 5.733895 6.568311 7.565331
2025-01-12 2.498452 3.142753 3.910551 4.891851 6.111780 7.577665 9.472370
2025-01-19 1.879840 2.549808 3.407243 4.582766 6.150441 8.167191 10.957391
2025-01-26 1.601680 2.322951 3.306271 4.740596 6.775346 9.554374 13.634925
2025-02-02 1.433527 2.208211 3.326026 5.049657 7.633544 11.355628 17.117499
2025-02-09 1.246962 2.030379 3.221297 5.153558 8.200037 12.806732 20.289121
2025-02-16 1.086470 1.862200 3.099588 5.203677 8.678444 14.171790 23.495417
2025-02-23 0.920646 1.656079 2.883477 5.064475 8.825885 15.024502 25.985179
2025-03-02 0.769251 1.448419 2.631360 4.822357 8.758242 15.501967 27.892949
2025-03-09 0.684907 1.345403 2.542208 4.845488 9.141595 16.771115 31.292736
2025-03-16 0.594091 1.215593 2.385367 4.721002 9.237236 17.537287 33.876049
2025-03-23 0.561267 1.192326 2.422273 4.962319 10.038405 19.663996 39.203055
2025-03-30 0.520208 1.148709 2.418515 5.133500 10.745987 21.735754 44.756500
2025-04-06 0.467438 1.072499 2.339176 5.141880 11.132192 23.237815 49.391367
2025-04-13 0.397465 0.947700 2.141364 4.874643 10.914448 23.510198 51.572498
2025-04-20 0.374824 0.925732 2.160400 5.077456 11.722003 25.981202 58.649660
2025-04-27 0.364829 0.931641 2.241744 5.430069 12.903775 29.381176 68.138613
2025-05-04 0.339718 0.896983 2.225320 5.554966 13.586084 31.774213 75.689241
2025-05-11 0.313305 0.854764 2.184928 5.616858 14.128655 33.916296 82.925255
2025-05-18 0.278305 0.784635 2.066667 5.471466 14.154581 34.874542 87.512101
2025-05-25 0.242009 0.704902 1.912569 5.212960 13.864697 35.048436 90.227362
2025-06-01 0.223406 0.670792 1.870994 5.239441 14.298218 37.014793 97.573831
2025-06-08 0.199846 0.618718 1.774416 5.105969 14.298580 37.909834 102.333157